Final Oscar Nomination Predictions

Oscar nominations are being announced on Thursday morning.  Here are my final nomination predictions:

Best Picture

Argo

Beasts of the Southern Wild

Django Unchained

Les Miserables

Life of Pi

Lincoln

The Master

Moonrise Kingdom

Silver Linings Playbook

Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director

Ben Affleck, Argo

Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

John Hawkes, The Sessions

Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables

Denzel Washington, Flight

Best Actress

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Helen Mirren, Hitchcock

Naomi Watts, The Impossible

Best Supporting Actor

Alan Arkin, Argo

Javier Bardem, Skyfall

Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, The Master

Judi Dench, Skyfall

Sally Field, Lincoln

Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Helen Hunt, The Sessions

Best Original Screenplay

Amour

Django Unchained

Looper

Moonrise Kingdom

Zero Dark Thirty

Best Adapted Screenplay

Argo

Life of Pi

Lincoln

The Perks of Being a Wallflower

Silver Linings Playbook

Editing

Argo

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Skyfall

Zero Dark Thirty

Cinematography

Les Miserables

Life of Pi

Lincoln

The Master

Skyfall

Production Design

Anna Karenina

Cloud Atlas

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Les Miserables

Lincoln

Sound Mixing

The Avengers
The Dark Knight Rises

Les Miserables

Zero Dark Thirty

Skyfall

Sound Editing

The Avengers

The Dark Knight Rises

Life of Pi
Lincoln

Zero Dark Thirty

Costume Design

Anna Karenina

Django Unchained

Les Miserables

Lincoln

Snow White and the Huntsmen

Original Score

Anna Karenina

Argo

Beasts of the Southern Wild

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Original Song

“Ancora Qui” – Django Unchained

“Learn Me Right” - Brave

“Skyfall” – Skyfall

“Suddenly” – Les Miserables

“This Gift” – The Odd Life of Timothy Green

Foreign Language Film

A Royal Affair

Amour

Beyond the Hills

The Intouchables

Kon-Tiki

Documentary Feature

5 Broken Cameras

The Gatekeepers

How to Survive a Plague

The Imposter

Searching for Sugar Man

Best Animated Feature

Brave

Frankenweenie

The Painting

ParaNorman

Wreck-It Ralph

Best Visual Effects

The Avengers

The Dark Knight Rises

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Life of Pi

Prometheus

Makeup and Hairstyling

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Lincoln

Men in Black 3

Best Animated Short

Adam and Dog

The Eagleman Stag

Fall of the House of Usher

Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare

Paperman

Best Live Action Short

Asad

Curfew

Death of a Shadow

9meter

when you find me

Best Documentary Short

Education of Mohammed Hussein

Mondays at Racine

Open Heart

Paraiso

Redemption

Commentary 

• I have Lincoln earning 13 nominations, which would leave it one shy of tying for the most-nominated film in Oscar history.
• I really hesitate nominating "Maggie Simpson in the Longest Daycare" for Best Animated Short.  If something replaces it, it will be "Dripped."
• I have Skyfall earning six nominations, which would make it the most-nominated film to not earn a Best Picture nomination.
• I know I'm wrong on Best Picture because there are no curveballs. Contenders I considered for the curveball spot were Amour, The Impossible, The Perks of Being a Wallflower and Skyfall.
• There's almost always a non-famous animated film in the Best Animated Film category. I expect that to be The Painting.
• My most "shockeroo" prediction would be Matthew McConaughey. He has received no support for his performance in Magic Mike except from critics. However, I think anyone that wants to vote for him based on the year he's had (Bernie, Magic Mike, The Paperboy, Killer Joe) will vote for his performance in Magic Mike.  Also, I think anyone that actually votes for him will place him high on the ballot.