Final Oscar Nomination Predictions

Oscar nominations are being announced on Thursday morning.  Here are my final nomination predictions:

Best Picture

Argo

Beasts of the Southern Wild

Django Unchained

Les Miserables

Life of Pi

Lincoln

The Master

Moonrise Kingdom

Silver Linings Playbook

Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director

Ben Affleck, Argo

Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

John Hawkes, The Sessions

Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables

Denzel Washington, Flight

Best Actress

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone

Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Helen Mirren, Hitchcock

Naomi Watts, The Impossible

Best Supporting Actor

Alan Arkin, Argo

Javier Bardem, Skyfall

Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, The Master

Judi Dench, Skyfall

Sally Field, Lincoln

Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

Helen Hunt, The Sessions

Best Original Screenplay

Amour

Django Unchained

Looper

Moonrise Kingdom

Zero Dark Thirty

Best Adapted Screenplay

Argo

Life of Pi

Lincoln

The Perks of Being a Wallflower

Silver Linings Playbook

Editing

Argo

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Skyfall

Zero Dark Thirty

Cinematography

Les Miserables

Life of Pi

Lincoln

The Master

Skyfall

Production Design

Anna Karenina

Cloud Atlas

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Les Miserables

Lincoln

Sound Mixing

The Avengers
The Dark Knight Rises

Les Miserables

Zero Dark Thirty

Skyfall

Sound Editing

The Avengers

The Dark Knight Rises

Life of Pi
Lincoln

Zero Dark Thirty

Costume Design

Anna Karenina

Django Unchained

Les Miserables

Lincoln

Snow White and the Huntsmen

Original Score

Anna Karenina

Argo

Beasts of the Southern Wild

Life of Pi

Lincoln

Original Song

“Ancora Qui” – Django Unchained

“Learn Me Right” - Brave

“Skyfall” – Skyfall

“Suddenly” – Les Miserables

“This Gift” – The Odd Life of Timothy Green

Foreign Language Film

A Royal Affair

Amour

Beyond the Hills

The Intouchables

Kon-Tiki

Documentary Feature

5 Broken Cameras

The Gatekeepers

How to Survive a Plague

The Imposter

Searching for Sugar Man

Best Animated Feature

Brave

Frankenweenie

The Painting

ParaNorman

Wreck-It Ralph

Best Visual Effects

The Avengers

The Dark Knight Rises

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Life of Pi

Prometheus

Makeup and Hairstyling

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Lincoln

Men in Black 3

Best Animated Short

Adam and Dog

The Eagleman Stag

Fall of the House of Usher

Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare

Paperman

Best Live Action Short

Asad

Curfew

Death of a Shadow

9meter

when you find me

Best Documentary Short

Education of Mohammed Hussein

Mondays at Racine

Open Heart

Paraiso

Redemption

Commentary 

• I have Lincoln earning 13 nominations, which would leave it one shy of tying for the most-nominated film in Oscar history.
• I really hesitate nominating "Maggie Simpson in the Longest Daycare" for Best Animated Short.  If something replaces it, it will be "Dripped."
• I have Skyfall earning six nominations, which would make it the most-nominated film to not earn a Best Picture nomination.
• I know I'm wrong on Best Picture because there are no curveballs. Contenders I considered for the curveball spot were Amour, The Impossible, The Perks of Being a Wallflower and Skyfall.
• There's almost always a non-famous animated film in the Best Animated Film category. I expect that to be The Painting.
• My most "shockeroo" prediction would be Matthew McConaughey. He has received no support for his performance in Magic Mike except from critics. However, I think anyone that wants to vote for him based on the year he's had (Bernie, Magic Mike, The Paperboy, Killer Joe) will vote for his performance in Magic Mike.  Also, I think anyone that actually votes for him will place him high on the ballot.

Emmy Nominee Predictions

For the record, here are my predictions:

Drama Series

Boardwalk Empire
Dexter
Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
House
Mad Men

Actor, Drama Series

Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Hugh Laurie, House
Christopher Meloni, Law & Order: Special Victims Unit

Actress, Drama Series

Kathy Bates, Harry’s Law
Mariska Hargitay, Law & Order: Special Victims Unit
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Katey Sagal, Sons of Anarchy
Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer

Supporting Actor, Drama Series

Andre Braugher, Men of a Certain Age
Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
John Noble, Fringe
Michael Pitt, Boardwalk Empire
John Slattery, Mad Men

Supporting Actress, Drama Series

Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
Sharon Gless, Burn Notice
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Margo Martindale, Justified
Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife

Comedy Series

30 Rock
The Big Bang Theory
Glee
Modern Family
The Office
Parks and Recreation

Actor, Comedy Series

Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Louis C.K., Louie
Steve Carell, The Office
Joel McHale, Community
Matthew Morrison, Glee
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Actress, Comedy Series

Toni Collette, The United States of Tara
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Laura Linney, The Big C
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Supporting Actor, Comedy Series

Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Chris Colfer, Glee
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother
Ed O’Neill, Modern Family
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family

Supporting Actress, Comedy Series

Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Jane Lynch, Glee
Wendie Malick, Hot in Cleveland
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Betty White, Hot in Cleveland
Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live

Reality/Competition Program

The Amazing Race
American Idol
Dancing with the Stars
Survivor
Top Chef

My Oscar Predictions

Image: www.chestees.com (buy one!)

It is 11:00am on Oscar Sunday, and here are my final predictions:

Best Picture - The King's Speech
Best Director - Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
Best Actor - Colin Firth, The King's Speech
Best Actress - Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Best Supporting Actor - Christian Bale, The Fighter
Best Supporting Actress - Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Best Original Screenplay - The King's Speech
Best Adapted Screenplay -The Social Network
Best Animated Feature - Toy Story 3
Best Editing - The Social Network
Best Cinematography - True Grit
Best Art Direction - Inception
Best Sound Mixing - Inception
Best Sound Effects Editing - Inception
Best Costume Design - Alice in Wonderland
Best Makeup - The Wolfman
Best Visual Effects - Inception
Best Original Score - The Social Network
Best Original Song - "We Belong Together" - Toy Story 3
Best Foreign Language Film - In a Better World (Denmark)
Best Documentary Feature - Inside Job
Best Documentary Short - Poster Girl
Best Live Action Short - Wish 143
Best Animated Short - The Gruffalo

My 100% Correct (?) Oscar Predictions - EDITED WITH RESULTS

Here they are - feel free to check back and marvel at how amazingly accurate I am. They will be announced tomorrow morning.

Best Picture (10/10)
127 Hours*
Black Swan*
The Fighter*
Inception*
The Kids Are All Right*
The King's Speech*
The Social Network*
Toy Story 3*
True Grit*
Winter's Bone*
Alternate: The Town

Best Director (4/5) - 5/5 if you count alternate
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan*
David Fincher, The Social Network*
Tom Hooper, The King's Speech*
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David O. Russell, The Fighter*
Alternate: The Coen Brothers, True Grit*-

Best Actor (5/5)
Javier Bardem, Biutiful*
Jeff Bridges, True Grit*
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network*
Colin Firth, The King's Speech*
James Franco, 127 Hours*
Alternate: Robert Duvall, Get Low

Best Actress (4/5)
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right*
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole*
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone*
Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right
Natalie Portman, Black Swan*
Alternate: Hilary Swank, Conviction OR Hailee Steinfeld gets placed here instead of Supporting, True Grit

Best Supporting Actor (4/5)
Christian Bale, The Fighter*
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
John Hawkes, Winter's Bone*
Jeremy Renner, The Town*
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech*
Alternate: Michael Douglas, Wall Street 2: Money Never Sleeps

Best Supporting Actress (4/5) - 5/5 if you count alternate
Amy Adams, The Fighter*
Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech*
Mila Kunis, Black Swan
Melissa Leo, The Fighter*
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit*
Alternate: Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom*

Best Original Screenplay (4/5) - 5/5 if you count alternate
Black Swan
The Fighter*
Inception*
The Kids Are All Right*
The King's Speech*
Alternate: Another Year*

Best Adapted Screenplay (5/5)
127 Hours*
The Social Network*
Toy Story 3*
True Grit*
Winter's Bone*
Alternate: The Town

Editing (only 8 times in Oscar history has a film not nominated here won Best Picture) (4/5)
127 Hours*
Black Swan*
The King's Speech*
Inception
The Social Network
Alternate: True Grit*

Cinematography (how purty the film looks onscreen) (5/5)
Black Swan*
Inception*
The King's Speech*
The Social Network*
True Grit*
Alternate: 127 Hours

Art Direction (4/5) with alternate, 5/5
Alice in Wonderland*
Black Swan
Inception*
The King's Speech*
True Grit*
Alternate: Harry Potter (whichever Harry Potter came out this year)*

Animated Feature (3/3)
How to Train Your Dragon*
The Illusionist*
Toy Story 3*
Alternate: Tangled

Sound Mixing (3/5)
Black Swan
Inception*
The Social Network*
Tron Legacy
True Grit*
Alternate: Iron Man 2

Sound Effects Editing (4/5)
Black Swan
Inception*
Toy Story 3*
Tron Legacy*
True Grit*
Alternate: How to Train Your Dragon

Costume Design (4/5)
Alice in Wonderland*
Black Swan
The King's Speech*
The Tempest*
True Grit*
Alternate: Tron Legacy

Visual Effects (4/5)
Alice in Wonderland*
Harry Potter*
Inception*
Iron Man 2*
Tron Legacy
Alternate: Scott Pilgrim vs. the World

Makeup (1/3)
Alice in Wonderland
The Fighter
The Wolfman*
Alternate: True Grit

Original Score (4/5) with alternate, 5/5
127 Hours*
Alice in Wonderland
Inception*
The King's Speech*
The Social Network*
Alternate: How to Train Your Dragon

Original Song (there probably won't be 5 nominees here, but who knows) (3/4) - with alternate, 4/4
"If I Rise" (127 Hours)*
"I See the Light" (Tangled)*
"Shine" (Waiting for 'Superman')
"You Belong To Me" (Toy Story 3)*
"You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" (Burlesque)
Alternate: "Coming Home" (Country Strong)*

Foreign Language Film (3/5) - with alternate, 4/5
Biutiful (Mexico)*
Confessions (Japan)
Dogtooth (Greece)*
Even the Rain (Spain)
In a Better World (Denmark)*
Alternate: Incendies (Canada)*

Documentary Feature (3/5) - with alternate, 4/5
Exit Through the Gift Shop*
Inside Job*
Restrepo*
The Tillman Story
Waiting for 'Superman'
Alternate: Waste Land*

I would try and predict the shorts, but honestly, I would just be stealing them from other predictions online. I don't even know what's eligible n those categories.

My Golden Globe Predictions

Photo: IBN Live

This is a big week for Oscar predictors. The Critics Choice Award nominees are being announced Monday, the Golden Globe nominees are being announced Tuesday, and the SAG Award nominees are being announced Thursday. So, here are my Golden Globe predictions in the major film categories. I may do TV later.

Best Motion Picture Drama
127 Hours
Inception
The King's Speech
The Social Network
True Grit
Alternate: Black Swan

Best Motion Picture Comedy
Alice in Wonderland
How Do You Know
Love and Other Drugs
Made In Dagenham
The Kids Are All Right
Alternate: Greenberg

Actress, Motion Picture Drama
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Lesley Manville, Another Year
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Hilary Swank, Conviction
Alternate: Halle Berry, Frankie & Alice

Actor, Motion Picture Drama
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Leonardo DiCaprio, Inception
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
Alternate: Robert Duvall, Get Low

Actress, Motion Picture Comedy
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Anne Hathaway, Love and Other Drugs
Sally Hawkins, Made in Dagenham
Julia Roberts, Eat Pray Love
Reese Witherspoon, How Do You Know
Alternate: Cher, Burlesque (The Golden Globes are all about celebrity, so….)

Actor, Motion Picture Comedy
Steve Carell, Dinner for Schmucks
Jim Carrey, I Love You, Philip Morris
Johnny Depp, Alice in Wonderland
Jake Gyllenhaal, Love and Other Drugs
Ben Stiller, Greenberg
Alternate: Zach Galifanakis or Robert Downey, Jr., Due Date

Supporting Actress, Motion Picture
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
Marion Cotillard, Inception
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
Alternate: Barbara Hershey, Black Swan

Supporting Actor, Motion Picture
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Michael Douglas, Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
Justin Timberlake, The Social Network
Alternate: Jack Nicholson, How Do You Know

Director, Motion Picture
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
Christopher Nolan, Inception
Alternate: Ben Affleck, The Town

My Grammy Prediction Results

Photos by Kevin Winters, Getty Images.

Eh.

I got one perfect 5/5 category, but otherwise, 3 out of 5 tended to be the norm for me. On quite a few, one of my alternates also made it in. Here is the category by category breakdown:

Album of the Year – 3/5 (Plus Need You Now as one of my listed alternates)
Recovery – Eminem**
Need You Now – Lady Antebellum
The Fame Monster – Lady Gaga**
Teenage Dream – Katy Perry
The Suburbs – Arcade Fire**

I thought Miranda would be able to do it. But, I'm happy Lady A made it in. Did not see Katy Perry getting nominated in this category at all.

Record of the Year – 3/5 (Plus "Fuck You" as one of my listed alternates)
“Love the Way You Lie” – Eminem & Rihanna**
“Nothin’ on You” – B.o.B & Bruno Mars
“Empire State of Mind” – Jay-Z & Alicia Keys**
“Need You Now” – Lady Antebellum**
“Fuck You” – Cee Lo Green

Part of my gut was telling me Cee-Lo Green would make it in, and part of my gut was telling me that the voters would not go for it. Again, I'm glad I'm wrong in this instance. Why did I have "Nothin' On You" on the Song alternate list but not the Record list? I'm honestly shocked Lady Gaga was left off.

Song of the Year – 2/5 (Plus "Love the Way You Lie" as one of my listed alternates)
“Love the Way You Lie” – Eminem & Rihanna
“Fuck You”- Cee Lo Green
“The House That Built Me” – Miranda Lambert**
“Beg, Steal, or Borrow” – Ray LaMontagne
“Need You Now” – Lady Antebellum**

I knew this category would not be good for me, so I'm glad I got the two country songs right. That's a big deal for two country songs to get nominated here. I have not heard the Ray LaMontagne song, so it wasn't even on my radar.

Best New Artist – 4/5
Justin Bieber**
Drake**
Florence + the Machine**
Mumford & Sons**
Esperanza Spalding

Pretty awesome result, if I do say so myself. Again, I never even really considered Esperanza Spalding. Otherwise, I'm happy. Funny story - Justin Bieber is also nominated for Best Pop Album. Does that mean Grammy voters actually like him as a musical artist? This is upsetting. Another funny story - Ke$ha is nowhere to be found, anywhere. Her producer got nominated, but that's it. Not saying Ke$ha is a great "artist" per se, but in my opinion, Justin Bieber hasn't proven himself to be one either just yet.

Best Female Pop Vocal Performance – 3/5 (With Beyonce "Halo (Live)" as one of my listed alternates)
Sara Bareilles – “King of Anything”**
Beyoncé – “Halo (Live)”
Norah Jones – “Chasing Pirates”
Lady Gaga – “Bad Romance”**
Katy Perry – “Teenage Dream”**

I KNEW Beyonce's live performance of "Halo" would get nominated. I should have manned up and moved it out of my alternates. She also got nominated twice as a "featured artist" on The Fame Monster (because of her duet with Lady Gaga on "Telephone.") That's one of the quirkier Grammy rules. If you are on someone's album and that someone wins Album of the Year, you get a Grammy too. Colbie Callat took home an Album of the Year Grammy last year when Taylor Swift won for Fearless because of their duet, "Breathe."

Best Male Pop Vocal Performance – 4/5
Michael Bublé – “Haven’t Met You Yet”**
Michael Jackson – “This Is It”**
Adam Lambert – “Whataya Want From Me”
Bruno Mars – “Just the Way You Are”**
John Mayer – “Half of My Heart”**

Yep. Took Adam Lambert off my alternate list at the minute, and he ended up getting nominated. Otherwise, not much else to say.

Best Pop Vocal Duo or Group – 5/5 – PERFECT!
“Don’t Stop Believin’ ” – Glee Cast**
“Misery” – Maroon 5**
“The Only Exception” – Paramore**
“Babyfather” – Sade**
“Hey, Soul Sister (Live)” – Train**

Glee Cast nomination - called it! You know what that means? Every single cast member of Glee that's in New Directions is now a Grammy nominee. Kinda weird.

Best Pop Vocal Collaboration – 2/5 (With "Airplanes II" as one of my listed alternates)
“Airplanes II” — B.o.B, Eminem & Hayley Williams
“Imagine” — Herbie Hancock, Pink, India.Arie, Seal, Konono No. 1, Jeff Beck & Oumou Sangare
“If It Wasn’t For Bad” — Elton John & Leon Russell
“Telephone” — Lady Gaga & Beyoncé**
“California Gurls” — Katy Perry & Snoop Dogg**

Eh, didn't do so great here.

Best Female Country Vocal Performance – 2/5 (With Leann Rimes, "Swingin'" as one of my listed alternates)
"Satisfied" - Jewel
"The House That Built Me" - Miranda Lambert**
"Swingin'" - LeAnn Rimes
"Temporary Home" - Carrie Underwood**
"I'd Love To Be Your Last" - Gretchen Wilson

For country to be my favorite genre of music, I stink it up in the Country categories year after year. Jewel? NO TAYLOR SWIFT? Are they over her? She submitted Mine. She won this category last year. Again, surprised. Not that I love Taylor Swift, but it doesn't make too much sense for more people to mark Jewel on a country ballot than Taylor Swift. I knew I was making a mistake by leaving Leann Rimes off my final five. They've nominated her every year for the past five years, I think.

Best Male Country Vocal Performance – 1/5
"Macon" - Jamey Johnson
"Cryin' For Me (Wayman's Song)" - Toby Keith
"Turning Home" - David Nail
"Til Summer Comes Around" - Keith Urban**
"Gettin' You Home" - Chris Young

Pathetic. Plain and simple. But, I'm thrilled for Chris Young getting nominated for "Gettin' You Home." That's my favorite country song of the year (even though it was released in 2009), and will appear on my Top Ten Songs of the Year post I plan on doing in a week or so.

Best Country Vocal Duo or Group – 3/5 (With The Steeldrivers as one of my listed alternates)
"Free" - Zac Brown Band**
"Elizabeth" - Daily & Vincent
"Need You Now" - Lady Antebellum**
"Little White Church" - Little Big Town**
"Where Rainbows Never Die" - The SteelDrivers

I'm happy with this. Remember when I said there would be a "who the hell is that" nominee? Well this year, it's Dailey and Vincent. Funny though, I've actually heard of them. I visited the Grand Ole Opry in May, and every commercial break, they advertised the album, Dailey and Vincent Sing the Statler Brothers, available only at The Cracker Barrel. You read that right, Brooks & Dunn and Sugarland were left off for a duo who released their album at The Cracker Barrel.

So, that's that.